Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.067159 0.075526 0.084161 0.093711 0.103951 0.114574 0.126401
2025-02-16 0.049952 0.061879 0.074938 0.090168 0.107312 0.125893 0.147430
2025-02-23 0.042101 0.056723 0.073552 0.094027 0.117949 0.144718 0.176643
2025-03-02 0.036254 0.052742 0.072578 0.097599 0.127738 0.162331 0.204502
2025-03-09 0.029175 0.046114 0.067466 0.095398 0.130059 0.170813 0.221516
2025-03-16 0.023267 0.040082 0.062299 0.092406 0.130819 0.176989 0.235482
2025-03-23 0.020852 0.038412 0.062457 0.095891 0.139403 0.192508 0.260627
2025-03-30 0.018404 0.036327 0.061768 0.098046 0.146162 0.205733 0.283029
2025-04-06 0.016689 0.035088 0.062056 0.101362 0.154337 0.220718 0.307671
2025-04-13 0.014287 0.032427 0.060048 0.101329 0.157985 0.229929 0.325158
2025-04-20 0.013892 0.032997 0.062743 0.107839 0.170359 0.250337 0.356804
2025-04-27 0.011797 0.030364 0.060402 0.107052 0.172822 0.257976 0.372388
2025-05-04 0.010311 0.028713 0.059594 0.108636 0.178838 0.270718 0.395184
2025-05-11 0.008512 0.026188 0.057214 0.107812 0.181539 0.279234 0.412820
2025-05-18 0.008057 0.026275 0.059080 0.113372 0.193249 0.299801 0.446222
2025-05-25 0.007471 0.025987 0.060266 0.117889 0.203532 0.318570 0.477467
2025-06-01 0.005957 0.023340 0.057160 0.115574 0.203908 0.323956 0.491209
2025-06-08 0.004564 0.020590 0.053570 0.112243 0.202614 0.326947 0.501722
2025-06-15 0.004204 0.020366 0.054552 0.116228 0.212043 0.344610 0.531722
2025-06-22 0.003719 0.019692 0.054618 0.118685 0.219217 0.359228 0.557778
2025-06-29 0.003410 0.019448 0.055478 0.122448 0.228369 0.376641 0.587680
2025-07-06 0.002806 0.018133 0.054115 0.122412 0.231775 0.386086 0.606965
2025-07-13 0.002855 0.018951 0.057085 0.129778 0.246473 0.411393 0.647724